What are three reasons that cash is worth more today than cash to be received in the future?

Inflation

Inflation is a phenomenon in which the prices of goods and services increase gradually over time.  Ever wonder why the price for a burger and a coke was $0.05 in the 1950’s but today, the same meal would cost several dollars? This is the power of inflation: over time your Purchasing Power — the amount of things you can buy with a specific amount of money — is diminished by the constant increase in prices.  Simply put, a dollar today will buy you less goods and services as time progresses due to inflation. 

Table of Contents Show

• Why Is $1 Worth More Today Than Tomorrow?
• 1. Opportunity Cost of Investing
• 2. Inflation
• 4. Opportunity Cost of Personal Growth
• Exceptions To The Rule
• 1. Deflation
• 2. When There Are No Good Investment Opportunities Around
• How Can We Use Time Value Of Money To Our Advantage?
• Start Your Retirement Planning Early
• Invest Your Money Wisely
• Present And Future Values Of Investments
• Closing Thoughts

Measured as a percentage, inflation is accounted for by the rate of average price change for goods and services included within the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI).  From groceries to electricity to haircuts, the CPI includes a wide variety of goods and services Canadians consume to provide a best estimate as to the effects of inflation.  This is one reason why a dollar today should be worth more to you than a dollar in 10 years: because it will likely buy less things in the future.

As you can see in the graphic above, in Year 1, you are able to purchase $100,000 worth of goods and services with $100,000.  However, in an environment with a steady inflation rate of 2.00%, by Year 30, $100,000 will be able to buy you only $54,548 worth of those same goods and services. 

You have most likely heard of the phrase:

“Time Is Money”.

But how about the concept: time value of money (TVM)?

TVM is one of the most basic concepts in finance and investing.

It is taught in one of the first few lessons of Finance 101 courses since much of investing is built on this theory. 

The underlying concept of TVM is that one dollar today is worth more than one dollar in the future. And arguably, this is a reasonably intuitive idea.

In fact, when we talk about TVM, the word inflation might have popped into your mind.

However, inflation is only one of the reasons behind this idea…

Why Is $1 Worth More Today Than Tomorrow?

Here are four main reasons why.

1. Opportunity Cost of Investing

Would you prefer your boss to pay you now, or a year later? More likely, you would want it now! 

One of the disadvantages of being paid late is that you miss out on investment opportunities.

The foregone chances of investing would be the opportunity cost of growing your capital through investments.

Let’s say you bought Toto and (allegedly) won $9 million like this Seedly community member.

Which option would you choose:

1. Option One: A lump-sum payment right now worth $9 million now or
2. Option Two: A lump-sum payment of $15 million paid 10 years later.

Which is the better option?

TVM tells us that the first option: the lump sum paid out right now, is better even though it is a smaller amount.

Why might it be a better option?

This is because it gives you the ability to put the money to work earning interest or growing via some other investment vehicle like stocks or property.

Let’s illustrate this with an example.

Let’s say you took the $9 million and invested it into an investment product with an annual interest rate of 6 per cent.

Here is what you will end up with after 10 years.

A few caveats to this.

Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Please do your due diligence on any investment you may make in the future as every investment product will have a certain amount of risk involved.

2. Inflation

I remember how a plate of noodles only cost $0.40 back when I was in primary school!

But we’ll be hard-pressed to find such a cheap plate of noodles today.

My bet is that many of us have experienced inflation first-hand, especially if we have noticed how the prices of goods and services have increased over time. 

This seems bad at first glance, but in fact, an economy with low inflation is a good thing!

The corrosive power of inflation is why people invest since the purchasing power of your money decreases over time with inflation.

This simply means that the same amount of money can buy fewer goods in the future than you can now.

3. Risk

Risk is not just related to returns; it is related to time as well.

The longer you wait for it to be paid through dividends, repayment of debt or even salary, the higher the risk that you won’t receive the promised payment. 

Risk is present because it is harder for you to predict the payment ability of an entity much further in the future.

Also, many other events could happen in the meantime which may disrupt the ability of the entity to pay.

Finance and investment professionals have a way of uniting risk and time, in a neat idea called a “Discount Rate”.

But that would be an article for another day.

4. Opportunity Cost of Personal Growth

This is not a “finance” concept per se, but it is about investing in yourself.

Warren Buffet – in several interviews – always stressed the importance of investing in your own personal growth.

Using the money you have today rather than later, you can invest in books, courses, or activities to improve yourself.

Warren Buffet has also shared how knowledge is like compound interest. The more knowledge you have today, the more it will grow as you can grasp concepts more efficiently and make better (investment) decisions in the future. 

Exceptions To The Rule

The theory and reasoning behind the TVM is sound.

Here, I will not critique the TVM theory but provide two exceptions to the scenarios mentioned earlier.

1. Deflation

Deflation is in many ways the opposite of inflation, where the general price level of goods and services decrease over time.

This means that you can actually buy more with the same amount of money the longer you wait!

However, deflationary regimes are more of an exception to the rule. Central banks always try their best to avoid such scenarios, as deflationary pressures are generally awful for the economy.

2. When There Are No Good Investment Opportunities Around

Have you ever had the urge to do something when you had absolutely nothing to do? I certainly have, and I’m trying to kick this bad habit as I end up spending time and energy on needless things.

Blaise Pascal, a French mathematician and philosopher, said that

“All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.”

The same principle can be applied to how we manage our money. Sometimes, we do need to sit quietly in a room with our money.

One of the key investment principles mentioned by famous investors is that we should wait for good investment opportunities to come.

In a recent shareholders’ meeting for Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett was asked why his company held so much cash.

He responded that the amount of cash was left available so that the company could snag up good investment opportunities when they appeared. 

Sometimes, the best thing to do is nothing, especially when good investment opportunities aren’t around. 

How Can We Use Time Value Of Money To Our Advantage?

Start Your Retirement Planning Early

$100 today may not seem much, but after considering the effect of compounding, it will definitely be worth more in the future if you invest it.

So if you start planning for your retirement now, you’ll have a longer time horizon to grow your money and can enjoy your golden years the way you intend to.

Invest Your Money Wisely

As I brought up earlier, knowledge compounds.

By learning more today, you can accelerate your growth in the future. By spending more time on activities and events that will be truly beneficial to your growth today can potentially even further your career and your aspirations in the future. 

Also, we should not be too hasty to invest our money just because we feel pressured to do so.

Sometimes, holding cash may be the right thing to do while we search and wait for good investment opportunities. 

Present And Future Values Of Investments

The next time you assess the amount of dividends that a company can pay, take note of when the dividends will be paid to you.

The longer you wait for the dividends to come in, the more risk you are taking, and the less valuable the dividends would be worth today. 

Another potential application of TVM is in calculating the present value of loans, mortgages and savings.

For example, you can take into account the different durations of repayments to find out which loan has the highest value instead of just taking note of the quantum of the payments.

Closing Thoughts

A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow.

This is due to inflation, opportunity costs of investing, as well as risks.

There might be exceptions to this rule, such as when there is deflation and when we should hold cash instead of investing. 

Though the concept of TVM is intuitive and straightforward, it reminds us that preparing for retirement earlier is more manageable and that we should invest our money wisely. TVM is also a practical concept that can be applied to investing and the choosing of financial products. 

Disclaimer: The information provided by Seedly serves as an educational piece and is not intended to be personalised investment advice. ​Readers should always do their own due diligence and consider their financial goals before investing in any stock. The writer may have a vested interest in the companies mentioned.